GrippeAllemagneV4, Main, Exploration, bibRecord, 000598

A mathematical model for the European spread of influenza.

Identifieur interne : 000598 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000597; suivant : 000599

A mathematical model for the European spread of influenza.

Auteurs : A. Flahault [France] ; S. Deguen ; A J Valleron

Source :

European journal of epidemiology [ 0393-2990 ] ; 1994.

RBID : pubmed:7843359

Descripteurs français

KwdFr :
- Aviation (MeSH), Belgique (épidémiologie), Berlin (épidémiologie), Danemark (épidémiologie), Espagne (épidémiologie), Europe (épidémiologie), France (épidémiologie), Grippe humaine (transmission), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Hongrie (épidémiologie), Humains (MeSH), Italie (épidémiologie), Londres (épidémiologie), Modèles statistiques (MeSH), Paris (épidémiologie), Prédisposition aux maladies (MeSH), Prévision (MeSH), Suède (épidémiologie), Voyage (MeSH), Épidémies de maladies (statistiques et données numériques).
MESH :
- statistiques et données numériques : Épidémies de maladies.
- épidémiologie : Belgique, Berlin, Danemark, Espagne, Europe, France, Grippe humaine, Hongrie, Italie, Londres, Paris, Suède.
- Aviation, Humains, Modèles statistiques, Prédisposition aux maladies, Prévision, Voyage.
Wicri :
- geographic : Belgique, Danemark, France, Hongrie, Italie, Espagne, Suède.

English descriptors

KwdEn :
- Aviation (MeSH), Belgium (epidemiology), Berlin (epidemiology), Denmark (epidemiology), Disease Outbreaks (statistics & numerical data), Disease Susceptibility (MeSH), Europe (epidemiology), Forecasting (MeSH), France (epidemiology), Humans (MeSH), Hungary (epidemiology), Influenza, Human (epidemiology), Influenza, Human (transmission), Italy (epidemiology), London (epidemiology), Models, Statistical (MeSH), Paris (epidemiology), Spain (epidemiology), Sweden (epidemiology), Travel (MeSH).
MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Belgium, Berlin, Denmark, Europe, France, Hungary, Italy, London, Paris, Spain, Sweden.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- statistics & numerical data : Disease Outbreaks.
- transmission : Influenza, Human.
- Aviation, Disease Susceptibility, Forecasting, Humans, Models, Statistical, Travel.

Abstract

Following a study modelling the geographical spread of influenza in France, on the basis of population movements through the use of railroad data, we applied the same methodology on a European scale. We simulated an epidemic within a network of 9 European cities (Amsterdam, Berlin, Budapest, Copenhagen, London, Madrid, Milano, Paris, Stockholm), only taking into account regular between-cities air transport. Transportation data were obtained from the International Civil Aviation Organization (1991). The theoretical results show that the time lag for action is probably short (less than one month) after the first detection of an epidemic focus.

DOI: 10.1007/BF01719679
PubMed: 7843359

Affiliations:

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Le document en format XML

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<author><name sortKey="Flahault, A" sort="Flahault, A" uniqKey="Flahault A" first="A" last="Flahault">A. Flahault</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Faculté de Médecine Saint-Antoine, Paris, France.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">France</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Faculté de Médecine Saint-Antoine, Paris</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><region type="region">Île-de-France</region>
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<author><name sortKey="Deguen, S" sort="Deguen, S" uniqKey="Deguen S" first="S" last="Deguen">S. Deguen</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Valleron, A J" sort="Valleron, A J" uniqKey="Valleron A" first="A J" last="Valleron">A J Valleron</name>
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<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Aviation (MeSH)</term>
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<term>Disease Outbreaks (statistics & numerical data)</term>
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<term>Belgique (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Berlin (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Danemark (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Espagne (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Europe (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>France (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Grippe humaine (transmission)</term>
<term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Hongrie (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Humains (MeSH)</term>
<term>Italie (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Londres (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Modèles statistiques (MeSH)</term>
<term>Paris (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Prédisposition aux maladies (MeSH)</term>
<term>Prévision (MeSH)</term>
<term>Suède (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Voyage (MeSH)</term>
<term>Épidémies de maladies (statistiques et données numériques)</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Belgium</term>
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<term>Berlin</term>
<term>Danemark</term>
<term>Espagne</term>
<term>Europe</term>
<term>France</term>
<term>Grippe humaine</term>
<term>Hongrie</term>
<term>Italie</term>
<term>Londres</term>
<term>Paris</term>
<term>Suède</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Aviation</term>
<term>Disease Susceptibility</term>
<term>Forecasting</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Models, Statistical</term>
<term>Travel</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Aviation</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Modèles statistiques</term>
<term>Prédisposition aux maladies</term>
<term>Prévision</term>
<term>Voyage</term>
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<keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Belgique</term>
<term>Danemark</term>
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<term>Hongrie</term>
<term>Italie</term>
<term>Espagne</term>
<term>Suède</term>
</keywords>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Following a study modelling the geographical spread of influenza in France, on the basis of population movements through the use of railroad data, we applied the same methodology on a European scale. We simulated an epidemic within a network of 9 European cities (Amsterdam, Berlin, Budapest, Copenhagen, London, Madrid, Milano, Paris, Stockholm), only taking into account regular between-cities air transport. Transportation data were obtained from the International Civil Aviation Organization (1991). The theoretical results show that the time lag for action is probably short (less than one month) after the first detection of an epidemic focus.</div>
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<Abstract><AbstractText>Following a study modelling the geographical spread of influenza in France, on the basis of population movements through the use of railroad data, we applied the same methodology on a European scale. We simulated an epidemic within a network of 9 European cities (Amsterdam, Berlin, Budapest, Copenhagen, London, Madrid, Milano, Paris, Stockholm), only taking into account regular between-cities air transport. Transportation data were obtained from the International Civil Aviation Organization (1991). The theoretical results show that the time lag for action is probably short (less than one month) after the first detection of an epidemic focus.</AbstractText>
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A mathematical model for the European spread of influenza.

A mathematical model for the European spread of influenza.

Source :

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

Le document en format XML

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

Pour générer des pages wiki